Market forecast: Construction sector hangs in the balance

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Global events and inflationary turmoil have heightened sensitivity to risk and created nervousness ahead of the Budget, affecting private sector decision-making. Project viability remains tight

01 / Summary

Tender price index

Aecom’s tender price index is forecast to have increased by 3.0% over the whole of 2025, supported by slow but consistent growth in the industry.

Building cost index ▲

Aecom’s building cost index increased by 3.1% in the year to Q3 2025, driven by sticky inflation and labour cost pressures.

Consumer prices index

Consumer price inflation rose at a steady rate of 3.8% in August for the second month in a row, while services inflation – a useful indicator of price trends in more discretionary spending – slowed to 4.7% in August, down from 5.0% in July.

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