The latest report into the equipment market from analysts MBD says intruder alarms were expected to peak at £918 million in 2000 prior to a period of decline between now and 1993. By 2005 intruder alarms are expected to level out at £850 million.
The figures for all security equipment installations are more optimistic. Growth of four per cent was expected to be shown for the year 2000. In 1999 the number of new installations stood at 320,218 units. During 2000 the final figure was expected to be 331,656 units.
There will be good growth in the systems market overall, rising from an estimated £2,475 million in 2001 to £2,705 in 2005, an increase of 9 per cent in real terms.
In the CCTV sector growth has been prolific but will not continue at this level. "Although the market is expected to increase by 14 per cent between 2001 and 2005, this represents significantly reduced levels of growth than has been evident over the past few years," says the report.
The access control sector was expected to have stabilised during 2000, however this year it is expected to resume with continued growth until 2005. MBD estimates an overall increase of 12 per cent in this sector between 2001 and 2005.
The integrated systems sector is expected to increase from an estimated £220 million in the current year to £276 million in 2005.
Income from central alarms is forecast to rise from £113 million in 2001 to £161 million in 2005.
The report concludes that output will be stimulated by new technology throughout the review period. This will contribute to the growth in demand and increase the value of individual items.
Imports are likely to decline in 2001 prior to an increase in 2002. MBD believe that imports of security alarms and systems will stabilise in 2003 before increasing by 5 per cent in 2004 to a level of £100 million, a level which is expected to be maintained in 2005.
Source
Security Installer
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