MPs Grant Shapps, Mark Prisk and Andrew Stunell all face losing constituencies

The construction minister and housing minister are both at risk of losing their seats in the next election, according to an analysis of likely proposed changes to constituency boundaries by Liverpool University.

The analysis suggests that construction minister Mark Prisk and housing minister Grant Shapps are both at risk of losing their seats under the proposed changes by the Boundary Commission, due to report in September.

Shapps’ constituency is Welwyn Hatfield, while Prisk is MP for Hertford and Storford. The analysis also suggests that Lib Dem communities minister Andrew Stunell is at risk of losing his seat.

The conclusions were reached by Democratic Audit, a unit working within the University of Liverpool, which redesigned the electoral map of the UK under the Boundary Commission’s own rules.  In total the analysis predicts the conservatives  will lose 16 seats, Labour 17, and the Lib Dems 14.

Any changes, which will be consulted on in the autumn, will come in to force at the next election.